January 2015

The 2015 Economic Outlook

7:30am-9:30am | Sheraton Centre Hotel - Grand Ballroom - 123 Queen Street West , Toronto

Join us as our panel of chief economists share their thoughts about the year ahead.

Craig Wright, Chief Economist, RBC
Warren Jestin, Chief Economist, Scotiabank
Paul Mortimer-Lee, Chief Economist, North America, BNP Paribas
Stéfane Marion, Chief Economist & Strategist, National Bank
Craig Alexander, Senior Vice President & Chief Economist, TD Bank Financial Group
Avery Shenfeld, Chief Economist, CIBC World Markets
Douglas Porter, Chief Economist, BMO Financial Group

Discussion moderated by BNN's Andrew Bell

Breakfast will be served.

Member Pricing:
Individual seat: $89 +HST
Table (seats 10): $801 +HST

Guest Pricing:
Individual: $110 +HST
Table (seats 10): $990 +HST

The 2015 Economic Outlook

Avery Shenfeld

Chief Economist and Managing Director
CIBC Capital Markets

Avery Shenfeld

Avery Shenfeld is Managing Director and Chief Economist of CIBC World Markets Inc. He has been with CIBC since 1993 and is widely recognized as one of Canada’s leading economists for his perceptive analysis and insight on economic developments and their implications for financial markets.

Mr. Shenfeld is a nine-time winner of the Dow Jones Market Watch award for most accurate US forecaster and is highly ranked by Canadian institutional equity investors.

Mr. Shenfeld’s prior background includes experience in management consulting. He was on the economics faculty at the University of Toronto and in the summer program at Harvard’s John F. Kennedy School of Government. He has addressed numerous business groups and has been quoted in the media in the United States, Canada, Asia, and Europe.

Mr. Shenfeld holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Harvard University.

Craig Alexander

Senior Vice President & Chief Economist
TD Bank Financial Group

Craig Alexander

Craig Alexander holds a Master's degree in economics from the University of Toronto. He has thirteen years of experience in conducting economic analysis in the financial industry. Prior to joining the private sector, Craig spent four years as an economist at Statistics Canada.

In May 2010, Craig was promoted to Chief Economist for TD Bank Financial Group. In his current role, he travels across the United States and Canada speaking to TD clients and various business groups about economic trends and prospects. He is frequently quoted by the media on economic issues and writes reports on a wide array of economic and financial subjects. In addition to his role at TD Bank, Craig is also the current President of the Canadian Association for Business Economics.

Craig Wright

Chief Economist and Senior Vice President

Craig Wright

As chief economist, Craig leads a team of economists providing economic, fixed income and foreign exchange research to RBC clients. Craig is a regular contributor to a number of RBC publications and is a key player in delivering economic analysis to clients and the media through the Economic Department’s regular economic briefings.

A graduate of Wilfrid Laurier University and the University of Toronto, Craig was appointed Chief Economist in 2001 having joined RBC in 1994 after working at another financial institution for seven years. Craig is a participant in a number of the key RBC internal committees and is a member of the CD Howe Monetary Policy Council, Wilfrid Laurier School of Business and Economic Dean’s Advisory Council and the British Columbia Economic Forecast Council.

Craig and his wife Susan live in Toronto with their three children Emily, Bradley and Jacob.

Paul Mortimer-Lee

Chief Economist North America
BNP Paribas

Paul Mortimer-Lee

Paul Mortimer-Lee is responsible for the global economic coverage of
the bank’s team of market economists in the world’s main financial
centres, in addition to overseeing its North American economic
research. He is currently based in New York and has worked for BNP
Paribas since 1995.

In recent years, Paul has mainly focused on the major issues related to the global financial crisis, monetary policy and unconventional policy instruments, global inflation and global economic imbalances. He writes regularly for the Nikkei newspaper and is a frequent media commentator. He has also contributed written and oral evidence to the UK House of Commons Select Committee on the Treasury.

Prior to joining BNP Paribas, Paul worked for many years in what is now the Monetary Analysis Division of the Bank of England, where his final position was as division head of Forecasting and Conjunctural Analysis, contributing significantly to the Bank’s Inflation Report.

He also worked in the Bank’s Gilt Edged and Money Markets division on operational issues, as well as in what is now the Financial Stability Division on issues relating to regulation, European legislation and taxation policy.

Paul worked for a time at the International Monetary Fund in Washington DC, where he was involved in several programmes. Paul earned undergraduate and graduate degrees at the London School of Economics, specialising in monetary economics. Paul and his wife founded and are the sole directors of an elementary school for children with specialist teaching needs, which has been officially assessed as "outstanding". Paul is also currently adviser to the asset-allocation committee of a large insurer

Stéfane Marion

Chief Economist and Strategist
National Bank of Canada

Stéfane Marion

Stéfane Marion is Chief Economist and Strategist for National Bank of Canada and National Bank Financial,
a position he has held since November 2008. Mr. Marion is a sought-after speaker on economic trends and
their financial implications and is ranked among the leading economists in Canada according to Brendan
Wood International.

National Bank Financial's Economics and Strategy team is regularly ranked among the top Canadian
forecasters and has won recognition for the accuracy of its projections.

In 2012, the C.D. Howe Institute appointed Mr. Marion to its Monetary Policy Council and to the newly
established Business Cycle Council. He also sits on National Bank Pension Committee.

Mr. Marion joined NBF’s Economics Group in 1999. Previously, Mr. Marion worked for several years in the
federal departments of Finance and Industry in Ottawa, where, in addition to economic analysis and
forecasting, he also worked on microeconomic policy impact studies. In particular, he participated in the
development of forecasting models and the analysis of the FTA and NAFTA free-trade agreements with the
United States and Mexico.

Mr. Marion holds a Bachelor’s degree and a Master’s degree in Economics from the Université de Montréal.

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